Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.056266 0.065474 0.075570 0.087443 0.101003 0.115984 0.133769
2025-05-25 0.042054 0.054052 0.068412 0.086784 0.109576 0.136830 0.171784
2025-06-01 0.033293 0.046683 0.063971 0.087746 0.119374 0.159762 0.214955
2025-06-08 0.026145 0.039673 0.058377 0.085803 0.124598 0.177046 0.252737
2025-06-15 0.022731 0.036955 0.057819 0.090143 0.138308 0.206613 0.309764
2025-06-22 0.019042 0.033042 0.054753 0.090157 0.145499 0.227490 0.356507
2025-06-29 0.015680 0.028958 0.050668 0.087814 0.148535 0.242210 0.395283
2025-07-06 0.013253 0.025943 0.047734 0.086712 0.153085 0.259300 0.438874
2025-07-13 0.012201 0.025133 0.048308 0.091381 0.167340 0.292753 0.510982
2025-07-20 0.011083 0.023987 0.048085 0.094549 0.179262 0.323325 0.580896
2025-07-27 0.009465 0.021573 0.045172 0.092435 0.181603 0.337880 0.625094
2025-08-03 0.008300 0.019861 0.043321 0.091993 0.186774 0.357565 0.679473
2025-08-10 0.007054 0.017783 0.040500 0.089423 0.187907 0.370574 0.723996
2025-08-17 0.006057 0.016069 0.038170 0.087514 0.190066 0.385617 0.773516
2025-08-24 0.005389 0.014993 0.037027 0.087886 0.196725 0.409560 0.841404
2025-08-31 0.004629 0.013539 0.034817 0.085659 0.197791 0.422812 0.890053
2025-09-07 0.004381 0.013348 0.035478 0.089851 0.212718 0.464447 0.996883
2025-09-14 0.003908 0.012461 0.034346 0.089795 0.218470 0.488121 1.070009
2025-09-21 0.003377 0.011296 0.032348 0.087429 0.218828 0.500706 1.121681
2025-09-28 0.002977 0.010425 0.030953 0.086316 0.221864 0.519065 1.186524
2025-10-05 0.002868 0.010417 0.031825 0.090958 0.238703 0.568217 1.319406
2025-10-12 0.002704 0.010201 0.032103 0.094108 0.252303 0.611347 1.442477
2025-10-19 0.002366 0.009342 0.030455 0.092001 0.252954 0.625853 1.504705